The Book of the Month

  • Book cover of 'The Black Swan' with a swan illustration and critical acclaim text.
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The Black Swan

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything, and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they are impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

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